Summary
Aditya Birla Real Estate Limited - Q3 FY 2026 Earnings Call Summary Thursday, January 29, 2026, 11:00 a.m. IST
Event Participants
Executives 4 K.T. Jithendran (MD & CEO, Birla Estates), Keyur Shah (CFO, Birla Estates), R.K. Dalmia (MD, Aditya Birla Real Estate), Snehal Shah (CFO, Aditya Birla Real Estate)
Analysts 8 Akash Gupta, Amit Srivastava, Biplab, Dixit Doshi, Harsh Pathak, Jahnvi Shah, Karan Khanna, Rishith Shah, Tarang Agrawal
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Presales (Q3) | ₹2,536 crores | +276% YoY; Driven by strong launches and sustenance sales. |
| Presales (9M FY26) | ₹3,848 crores | +64% YoY; Strong momentum in execution and business pipeline. |
| Collections (Q3) | ₹1,290 crores | +157% YoY; Reflects robust construction progress and sales. |
| Collections (9M FY26) | ₹2,347 crores | +44% YoY; Positive cash flow generation from ongoing projects. |
| Gross Debt | ₹4,500 - ₹5,000 crores | Historic land investments and project approvals; includes IFC funding. |
| Net Debt | ₹3,500 crores | Debt-to-Equity ~0.8; Management views leverage as comfortable. |
| Leasing Income | ~₹144 crores (Annual) | -11% YoY for 9M due to internal space expansion/inter-company eliminations. |
| GDV Pipeline | ₹70,000 crores | Total current GDV; ~₹44,000 crores identified as upcoming launches. |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- NCR (Gurugram/Delhi): Achieved total sellout of Birla Pravaah (Sector 71, Gurugram) within 24 hours, generating over ₹1,850 crores in presales. Management is targeting a FY27 launch for the Delhi project (India Hume Pipe) pending approval resolutions.
- MMR (Mumbai/Thane): Birla Niyaara and Birla Evara lead sustenance momentum; however, Niyaara Tower C launch is delayed to H1 FY27 due to legal/approval complexities. Thane (Hindalco land) launch is prioritized for Q4 FY26 with an increased GDV of ₹2,700 crores.
- Pune & Bengaluru: Launched Birla Evam (Pune) with 35% inventory sold in one month; further phases (Punya) planned. Bengaluru sustenance sales were strong, leading to plans for a new phase launch at Birla Evara (₹1,600 crore GDV).
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Brand Strengthening: Elevated brand visibility by becoming the principal sponsor of Gujarat Titans in the IPL to target key growth markets.
- Safety & Sustainability: Achieved 58 million safe man-hours; Birla Niyaara received BREEAM Certification, the first project in India to meet this UK-based sustainability standard.
- Portfolio Diversification: Strategic shift towards high-value premium and luxury housing while maintaining a floor price of ₹9,000 per sq. ft. for new developments.
- Asset Divestment: The sale of the paper business (Century Pulp & Paper) to ITC is awaiting final MoEF approvals; proceeds are expected by the end of FY26 with minimal tax leakage due to MAT credits.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| FY26 Presales | >₹8,000 crores | Confidence in exceeding previous targets despite Niyaara Tower C delay. |
| FY28 Presales Target | ₹15,000 crores | Strategic roadmap to move from ₹8,000 cr to ₹15,000 cr annual sales in 3 years. |
| Rental Income | ₹1,000 crores | Target within 4-5 years via commercial developments like Niyaara (1M sq. ft.). |
| Business Development | ₹10,000 - ₹15,000 crores | Target GDV additions by March 31, 2026, across NCR, MMR, Pune, and Bengaluru. |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Regulatory/Approval Delays | Supreme Court rulings and BMC standoffs delayed Niyaara Tower C approvals, pushing a major launch into FY27. |
| Market Concentration | ~55% of total GDV and two-thirds of upcoming GDV are concentrated in South Mumbai, creating sensitivity to micro-market demand. |
| Execution Complexity | Upcoming commercial ventures require intensive capital and strategic partners to mitigate development risks. |
Q&A Highlights
Launch Timelines & Delays
- Question: Given Niyaara Tower C is pushed to FY27, do you maintain the ₹8,000 crore FY26 guidance? (Karan Khanna)
- Answer: Yes, we remain optimistic due to strong Q4 launches in Thane, Pune, and Bengaluru. Tower C was delayed by a Supreme Court order requiring land extrication from the layout, but RERA for other Q4 projects is expected in February. (K.T. Jithendran)
Business Development Strategy
- Question: Why has there been no new BD this year, and can you hit the ₹15,000 crore target? (Akash Gupta)
- Answer: We refuse to take non-market risks; some deals failed due diligence late in the process. We are at advanced stages with several term sheets and expect to conclude ₹10,000+ crores by March 31. (K.T. Jithendran)
Commercial & Partner Strategy
- Question: What is the roadmap for the 1 million sq. ft. commercial development at Niyaara? (Harsh Pathak)
- Answer: We are progressing with design but are actively seeking a capital partner for commercial assets to manage the high capital intensity. We target ₹1,000 crores in annual rentals in 4-5 years. (K.T. Jithendran)
Cash Flow & Divestments
- Question: What is the status of the ITC deal for the paper business? (Harsh Pathak)
- Answer: CCI approval is secured; we are awaiting MoEF approval to transfer the lease. We expect the cash inflow before the end of FY26. (Snehal Shah)
Financials & Margins
- Question: What are the expected margins for the ₹70,000 crore GDV portfolio? (Tarang Agrawal)
- Answer: Standard margins are 25-30%, with owned land projects exceeding 40%. Most projects operate with negative working capital due to strong collections. (K.T. Jithendran/Keyur Shah)
Key Takeaway
Aditya Birla Real Estate delivered an exceptional Q3 FY26, headlined by a 276% YoY surge in presales to ₹2,536 crores, primarily fueled by the complete sellout of Birla Pravaah in Gurugram. Despite the strategic delay of the flagship Niyaara Tower C launch to H1 FY27 due to legal and approval complexities in Mumbai, management maintains its FY26 presales guidance of ₹8,000 crores, supported by a heavy Q4 launch pipeline in Thane, Pune, and Bengaluru. The company remains focused on a “prime micro-market” strategy, maintaining a healthy net debt of ₹3,500 crores (0.8x equity) and anticipating a significant cash liquidity event from the ITC paper business divestment by year-end. Looking forward, the firm is aggressively pursuing ₹10,000-15,000 crores in new business development to anchor its target of ₹15,000 crores in annual presales by FY28. Management’s conservative approach to land acquisition and focus on premium execution remains the cornerstone of their growth strategy in a robust Indian residential market.
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