Summary
Bajaj Auto Limited - Q3 FY 2026 Earnings Call Summary Friday, January 30, 2026 5:30 PM IST
Event Participants
Executives 3 Anand Newar (Head, Investor Relations), Dinesh Thapar (CFO), Rakesh Sharma (Executive Director)
Analysts 6 Amyn Pirani, Chandramouli, Gunjan Prithyani, Joseph George, Kapil Singh, Raghunandhan N. L.
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue from Operations | ₹15,220 crores | +19% YoY; All-time high driven by record volumes and richer sales mix. |
| EBITDA | ₹3,161 crores | +22% YoY; Highest ever quarterly EBITDA for the company. |
| EBITDA Margin | 20.8% | +60 bps YoY; +30 bps QoQ despite 50 bps commodity inflation hit. |
| Net Profit (PAT) | ₹2,503 crores | +19% YoY; Includes ₹61 crore one-time labor code charge. |
| Consolidated PAT | ₹2,750 crores | +25% YoY; Aided by BACL performance and KTM loan interest. |
| Export Volumes | 6,00,000+ units | +18% YoY; Surpassed 200k/month avg for the first time in 40 months. |
| BACL AUM | ₹16,500 crores | +₹3,500+ Cr QoQ; Captive finance subsidiary reached 45% penetration. |
| Surplus Cash | ₹15,000 crores | After ₹2,300 crore investment in Netherlands subsidiary (BAIH BV). |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- Domestic Motorcycles: The segment saw a 15% industry growth post-GST rationalization, with Bajaj prioritizing the 150cc+ “Pulsar heartland.” Management launched 7 product interventions since November and scheduled 8 more through Q1 FY27 to regain lost market share.
- Exports: Revenue grew 20% YoY in INR terms, driven by a recovery in 30 key markets and a 56% volume surge in Commercial Vehicles. Latin America delivered its highest-ever performance, while Brazil reached nearly 10,000 units with a healthy bottom line.
- Electric Vehicles (Chetak & 3W): Combined EV revenue crossed ₹2,000 crores (₹1,000 Cr each for 2W/3W), contributing 25% of domestic revenue. The EV business achieved double-digit EBITDA margins due to PLI benefits and improved unit economics.
- Commercial Vehicles (ICE): Maintained 70%+ overall market share and 85%+ in CNG; the ICE segment returned to 4-5% growth following GST cuts.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Pulsar Portfolio Refresh: A “barrage” of 15 new interventions (7 completed, 8 pending) aims to refresh the OG, N, and NS Pulsar series to outpace 125cc+ industry growth.
- KTM AG Turnaround: Following an increase in ownership to 75% on Nov 18, Bajaj implemented a three-pillar plan: ensuring liquidity, rebuilding the top management deck by April 1, and aggressive cost reduction.
- BACL Digital Focus: The finance subsidiary achieved a 21% ROE and ₹200 crore quarterly PAT using a “digital-first” model with lower operating costs than traditional peers.
- Premium Network Expansion: Joint KTM-Triumph showrooms are being scaled from 50 to 100+ outlets by March to enhance dealer viability in smaller markets.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Industry Growth | 12% - 15% (Q4 FY26) | Assumes sustained consumer optimism post-GST cuts and stable inflation. |
| Export Volumes | 200,000+ units / month | Management target for Q4 despite March typically being a shorter shipping month. |
| 150cc+ Market Share | Upward Trajectory | Driven by 8 upcoming launches/refreshes in the next 4 months. |
| KTM Consolidation | Full line-by-line (Q1 FY27) | KTM AG will be fully consolidated into Bajaj’s results starting next financial year. |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Commodity Inflation | Management identified a 50-60 bps headwind in Q4 due to surging Noble Metals (Platinum, Palladium) and Copper. Only half has been offset by pricing actions. |
| Export Volatility | Emerging market disruptions (currency devaluation, tariffs, shipping) remain a “way of life” that can impact the 108-country footprint. |
| L3 Segment Adoption | The “Riki” E-Rickshaw launch faces a barrier in upgrading price-sensitive customers from lead-acid batteries to more expensive lithium-ion tech. |
Q&A Highlights
Domestic Market Outlook
- Question: What is the medium-term outlook for the domestic motorcycle industry post-GST cuts? (Kapil Singh)
- Answer: Growth has bumped from -3% in Q2 to +15% in Q3. We expect 12-15% growth to sustain in the immediate term, with the premium half growing 3-4% faster than the bottom half (Rakesh Sharma).
EV Profitability
- Question: Is the electric 2-wheeler business currently EBITDA profitable? (Raghunandhan N. L.)
- Answer: Yes, the electric 2-wheeler business has hit EBITDA breakeven, and the combined EV portfolio (2W + 3W) is delivering double-digit EBITDA margins (Dinesh Thapar).
KTM Strategy
- Question: What specific synergies are being targeted with the KTM acquisition? (Raghunandhan N. L.)
- Answer: Focus is on a 360-degree plan: eliminating brand overlaps, rewiring cost structures (material and overheads), and leveraging Bajaj’s distribution/GTM systems (Dinesh Thapar).
BACL Funding
- Question: Will Bajaj need to continue investing capital into the finance subsidiary? (Amyn Pirani)
- Answer: The October ₹300 crore infusion was likely the last needed. It was Tier 2 capital, allowing for potential future repatriation (Dinesh Thapar).
Key Takeaway
Bajaj Auto delivered a record-breaking Q3 FY26, with revenue crossing ₹15,000 crores and EBITDA margins expanding to 20.8% despite significant commodity headwinds. The performance was characterized by a broad-based recovery, with domestic motorcycle growth accelerating to 15% post-GST rationalization and exports hitting a 40-month high of 200,000 units per month. Strategically, the company is Pivot-ing toward a massive Pulsar portfolio refresh (15 interventions) to reclaim premium market share and successfully scaled its EV business to contribute 25% of domestic revenue with double-digit EBITDA margins. With the 75% takeover of KTM AG now complete, the focus shifts to an operational turnaround in Europe and consolidating those financials by Q1 FY27. Management maintains a positive outlook for Q4, targeting sustained double-digit domestic growth and continued export momentum, while remaining vigilant on precious metal inflation.
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