Summary
Ester Industries Limited - Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Summary Monday, February 09, 2026 4:00 PM
Event Participants
Executives 3 Pradeep Rustagi (Executive Director, Corporate Affairs), Sourabh Agarwal (CFO), Vaibhav Jha (Deputy CEO)
Analysts 8 Juzer (Individual Investor), Muskan Malhotra (Individual Investor), Rohan Mehta (Individual Investor), Rohit Mehra (SK Securities), Saket Kapoor (Kapoor & Company), Sana (Individual Investor), Saransh Gupta (SVAN Investment), Vikrant Sahu (RK Advisory)
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Total Income (Consol) | ₹343.5 crores | -2.1% YoY; impact of aggressive Chinese dumping and U.S. tariff disruptions. |
| EBITDA (Consol) | ₹21.0 crores | -67.7% YoY; margins hit by ₹6.9 cr one-offs (FX MTM losses & new labor code liabilities). |
| EBITDA Margin | 6.1% | Significant compression from prior periods; target higher normalization as U.S. tariffs ease. |
| Net Profit/Loss | (₹4.9 crores) | Standalone loss due to macroeconomic headwinds and FX reinstatement losses. |
| Gross Debt | ₹742 crores | Includes ₹230 cr working capital; consolidated net debt stands at ₹660 crores. |
| Capacity Utilization | 71% | Consolidated basis; Ester Filmtech at 76%, Standalone EIL at 66%. |
| Sales Volume (Films) | 61,000 tons | 9-month figure; Q3 saw a 37.2% volume growth at Filmtech subsidiary. |
| Value Added (VA) Spread | ₹30 / kg | January exit rate; improved from ₹23-24 in Q3 on back of better domestic demand. |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- Polyester Films: Segment revenue declined 8.9% YoY to ₹287.7 crores due to Chinese dumping and U.S. trade tariffs. Despite North American volume losses (30-40%), Value-Added Sales (VAS) remained at 25% of the mix, growing 18% YoY in non-U.S. markets. Management expects a sharp recovery as U.S. tariffs drop from 50% to 18% in March 2026.
- Specialty Polymers: Revenue surged 72.9% YoY in Q3 with volumes up 46.4%, acting as the company’s profit anchor. EBIT margins remained robust at 30%+ due to IP protection on marquee products. The segment currently operates at 25-30% utilization with a peak revenue potential of ₹400-500 crores.
- Ester Filmtech Ltd (Wholly Owned Subsidiary): Reported income of ₹106 crores (+13.5% YoY) with sales volumes up 37.2% to 9,186 tons. Performance was weighed down by ₹4.2 cr in MTM FX losses and ₹2.7 cr in labor code provisions. Utilization improved significantly to 76% vs 55% in the prior year.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- U.S. Trade Deal: Anticipated signing in mid-March 2026 to reduce tariffs from 50% to 18%, positioning Ester as more competitive than Chinese and SE Asian peers.
- Project Elite (JV): A $193 million chemical recycling project with Loop Industries; land acquisition to be completed by May 2026. Toyo Engineering has been appointed as the EPC consultant for a late 2027 commissioning.
- Sustainability & PWMR: New Plastic Waste Management Rules requiring 10% recycled content in flexible packaging is driving domestic demand for recycled PET (rPET). Ester recently installed a new rPET extruder in Hyderabad (October 2025) to capitalize on this.
- Specialty Transition: Strategy to move VAS from current 25-40% to 70%+ of total revenue over the next 3-5 years to decouple from commodity cycles.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Specialty Polymer Growth | Double-digit growth | Sustained R&D focus and new product launches to drive consistent growth. |
| Capacity Utilization | Gradual Improvement | Expected to rise over next 4-5 quarters as domestic demand and exports recover. |
| VAS Share | 50% to 70% (3-5 years) | Strategic pivot toward specialty films and high-margin polymers. |
| Elite Project Debt | ~₹1,100 crores | 70:30 debt-equity mix for the JV; debt will be off-balance sheet (equity method accounting). |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Chinese Dumping | Aggressive pricing from China continues to pressure domestic margins; pending Antidumping Duty (ADD) investigation is the key mitigation. |
| FX Volatility | USD and Euro fluctuations led to ₹4.95 cr MTM losses this quarter; company hedges 6-12 month installments but remains exposed on exports. |
| Regulatory Delays | Potential deferment of PCR (recycled content) obligations in the draft PWMR notifications could slow the immediate adoption of rPET films. |
Q&A Highlights
Domestic Pricing & Spreads
- Question: What is the current situation of imports and pricing post-December? (Saransh Gupta)
- Answer: Value addition (VA) has improved from ₹23-24/kg in December to ₹30/kg in January. Chinese imports have stabilized at 6-7 kt per month, down from peaks of 11-12 kt (Vaibhav Jha).
Nike Offtake Agreement
- Question: Can you provide details on the Nike contract for the Elite project? (Rohan Mehta)
- Answer: It is a 3-year take-or-pay contract for 5,000 tons initially, expected to increase to 10,000 tons before commercial production. Nike pays 40% of the price if they don’t buy the material (Pradeep Rustagi).
U.S. Market Recovery
- Question: When will the North American specialty film volumes recover? (Saket Kapoor)
- Answer: We lost 30-40% of volume due to the 50% tariff. With the tariff dropping to 18%, we expect to recover these volumes in a few months and restart the business development pipeline (Vaibhav Jha).
Labor Code Impact
- Question: What were the one-off items hitting EBITDA? (Vikrant Sahu/Sourabh Agarwal)
- Answer: A one-time charge of ₹2.67 crores for retiral benefits due to new labor codes and ₹4.95 crores in MTM FX losses on foreign currency loans (Sourabh Agarwal).
Key Takeaway
Ester Industries reported a subdued Q3 FY26, with consolidated income declining 2.1% to ₹343.5 crores and EBITDA falling 67.7% to ₹21 crores, heavily impacted by predatory Chinese pricing and U.S. tariff barriers. Strategically, the company is pivoting toward a high-margin specialty mix, with Specialty Polymers volume growing 46.4% and the “Elite” recycling JV progressing through engineering phases with a secured Nike offtake. Management indicates the commodity BOPET cycle has bottomed, evidenced by domestic spreads recovering to ₹30/kg in January and the upcoming reduction of U.S. tariffs from 50% to 18% in March 2026. While FX volatility and Chinese dumping remain near-term pressures, the shift toward 70% specialty revenue and the enforcement of domestic recycled-content mandates provide a clear trajectory for margin expansion and volume growth into FY27.
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