Godawari Power & Ispat Limited Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Summary

Godawari Power & Ispat Limited delivered a resilient Q3 FY26, characterized by a 46% surge in iron ore mining despite a temporary drop in pellet sales due to...

Summary

Godawari Power & Ispat Limited - Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Summary Monday, February 09, 2026 4:00 PM

Event Participants

Executives 3 Abhishek Agrawal (Executive Director), Dinesh Gandhi (Executive Director), Sanjay Bothra (CFO)

Analysts 8 Abhi Shah, Aryan Bhatia, Devesh Shah, Manav, Sahil Sanghvi, Sahil, Shikhar Mundra, Siddharth, Siddharth Gadekar, Vikas Singh

Financials & KPIs

Metric Reported Commentary
Revenue (9M) Slight Decline Marginal YoY dip due to softer realizations across most product categories.
EBITDA Margin (Q3) 20% +300 bps YoY from 17% in Q3 FY25 despite lower volumes and realizations.
PAT Margin (Q3) 13% Stable QoQ; reflects strong operational efficiency and margin resilience.
Iron Ore Mining Vol (Q3) +46% YoY growth driven by enhanced operational momentum.
Value-Added Steel Sales +15% YoY growth; offset the temporary decline in pellet sales.
Iron Ore Mining (9M) +27% YoY growth; Ari Dongri mine performance remains strong.
Pellet Production (9M) +10% YoY growth; 17% increase in sales volume during the period.
Cash Reserves ~₹1,000 crores Strong liquidity maintained to fund upcoming heavy capex cycle.
Net Zero Target FY 2050 Long-term ESG commitment with current CARE Edge rating of 76.6.

Geographic & Segment Commentary

  • Mining: Received Environmental Clearance (EC) to more than double Ari Dongri mining capacity from 2.35 MT to 6 MT. Commercial ramp-up to 5 MT is expected in FY27, reaching the full 6 MT run rate by October 2026.
  • Pellets: Commissioned an additional 2 MT pellet plant in December 2025, taking total capacity to 4.7 MT. Management expects >90% utilization in FY27, targeting production of 4.2 MT+ with an 80:20 split between high-grade and low-grade pellets.
  • Power & Energy: Expanding captive solar capacity from 165 MW to 540 MW and installing a 45 MWh Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) at the mines. These initiatives aim to reduce grid power costs from ₹11/unit to ~₹3/unit.

Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary

  • Battery Energy Storage System (BESS): Launching a 20 GWh manufacturing facility with a ₹1,025 crore capex. First phase operations target April 2027 with 7-8% margins using advanced 628Ah cell technology.
  • Cold Rolled Mill (CRM) Complex: 0.7 MT CRM complex on track for March 2027 commissioning. Land acquisition is complete and bank funding is secured; project targets 8-10% EBITDA margins.
  • Asset Monetization: Board approved divestment of 37.85% stake in Ardent Steel for ~₹91 crores. Transaction expected to close by March 2026 to simplify group structure.
  • Integrated Steel Plant: Evaluating a 1-million-ton blast furnace steel plant project with an estimated ₹5,000 crore capex. Final “go/no-go” decision expected by the annual board meeting in April/May 2026.

Guidance & Outlook

Metric Guidance / Outlook Commentary
Total Capex ~₹2,000 crores (FY27) Covers CRM, solar expansion, and BESS; excludes potential steel plant capex.
Group Revenue ₹12,000 - ₹15,000 cr (FY28) Driven by full mining ramp-up, CRM commissioning, and BESS contribution.
Mining Capacity 5 MT (FY27) / 6 MT (FY28) Ramp-up contingent on receiving Consent to Operate (CTO) in Feb 2026.
Long-term Revenue ~₹25,000 crores (FY30) Management’s vision for the expanded integrated complex and BESS vertical.

Risks & Constraints

Risk Context
Market Oversupply New pellet capacities from competitors like Lloyds and NMDC may create temporary volume pressure. Management plans to mitigate this via high-grade pellet premiums.
Raw Material Costs Volatility in imported South African RB1 coal prices (currently ~₹11,000/ton). Recent INR depreciation also impacts landed costs for thermal coal used in DRI.
Execution Risk Simultaneous execution of BESS, CRM, and Solar projects requires significant management bandwidth and technical adaptation to new sectors.

Q&A Highlights

Pricing & Demand

  • Question: How is Q4 shaping up versus Q3? (Manav, YES Securities)
  • Answer: Q4 is seeing an upsurge; pellet prices are up 10-12% and DRI up 20%. Domestic demand is strong as customers buy ahead of the monsoon (Abhishek Agrawal).

BESS Strategy

  • Question: What are the unit economics for the BESS project? (Aryan Bhatia, InVed Research)
  • Answer: Revenue of ~₹80 lakh per MWh; an 8 GWh output at 50% utilization would yield ~₹6,500 crore revenue at 7-8% margins (Abhishek Agrawal).

Mining Costs

  • Question: How will mining costs move with the capacity ramp-up? (Siddharth Gadekar, Equirus)
  • Answer: Deeper mining (150m vs 100m) will increase raw costs, but volume leverage and solar power integration will keep long-term costs stable at ~₹3,000/ton (Abhishek Agrawal).

Steel Plant Decision

  • Question: When will the decision on the ₹5,000 crore steel plant be made? (Vinit Thakur)
  • Answer: We were waiting for mining EC. The final decision to proceed or drop the 1 MT steel plant will be taken by the April/May 2026 Board meeting (Abhishek Agrawal).

Key Takeaway

Godawari Power & Ispat Limited delivered a resilient Q3 FY26, characterized by a 46% surge in iron ore mining despite a temporary drop in pellet sales due to a plant accident. The quarter was highlighted by the receipt of Environmental Clearance to expand mining capacity from 2.35 MT to 6 MT, a critical milestone for raw material security. Strategically, the company is diversifying into high-value segments, including an 800-crore CRM complex and a ₹1,025-crore BESS manufacturing venture, while expanding captive solar capacity to 540 MW to drive down costs. Management expects total group revenue to scale to ₹12,000-15,000 crores by FY28 as these projects commission. While market oversupply and coal price volatility remain watch points, the company’s transition to an integrated high-grade producer with a fortified balance sheet positions it for significant scale. Forward growth remains contingent on the upcoming “go/no-go” decision for the ₹5,000 crore integrated steel plant.

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