Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Summary

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) Q3 FY26 earnings call summary with key financial metrics, guidance, and analyst Q&A highlights.

Summary

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited - Q3 FY 2026 Earnings Call Summary Friday, February 06, 2026, 4:00 PM IST

Event Participants

Executives 5 Amit Tandon (Director Projects), Anupam Ban (Director Personnel), Chandan Verma (CFO), M.P. Singh (Director Operations), Saleem Ahmad (CMD)

Analysts 2 Ashish Shah (HDFC Mutual Fund), Vishal Periwal (PL Capital)

Financials & KPIs

Metric Reported Commentary
Revenue from Operations ₹4,936 crores Reported for Q3 FY26; 9M FY26 consolidated revenue stands at ₹14,406 crores.
Profit Before Tax (PBT) ₹359 crores Reported for Q3 FY26; 9M FY26 consolidated PBT is ₹841 crores.
Order Book ₹87,000 crores Includes ₹40,000 crores in nomination works and ₹47,000 crores in bidding-based works.
Order Inflow (9M FY26) ₹1,528 crores New works awarded in the first nine months; company is also L1 for projects worth ₹3,667 crores.
Target EBITDA Margin 7.0% Management expects to achieve a 7% gross/EBITDA margin in FY27 through cost-cutting and execution quality.

Geographic & Segment Commentary

  • Railway (Core Segment): Comprises 45% of the total order book (approx. ₹39,150 crores). The segment is shifting from a pure nomination model to a mix of nomination and competitive bidding, with a focus on doubling and new lines.
  • Electrical & RDSS: Accounts for 15% of the order book. Projects include Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS) across four states, transmission lines, and railway electrification.
  • Signalling & Telecom (incl. BharatNet): Represents 15% of the order book. Management noted satisfactory progress on the BharatNet project, which is expected to generate significant income in the current fiscal year.
  • Roads & Highways: Comprises 10% of the order book. RVNL is actively bidding for national highway projects to diversify its infrastructure portfolio.
  • Vande Bharat & Mechanical: Accounts for 7% of the order book. Includes the manufacture of 120 sleeper train sets (16-coach configuration) in partnership with a Russian counterpart.

Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary

  • Business Model Transition: The company is transitioning from a nomination-heavy model to a competitive bidding model, which currently accounts for ₹47,000 crores of the order book.
  • Diversification & MOUs: RVNL is actively pursuing MOUs with state bodies and PSUs, including a recent agreement with Visakha Port Authorities for infrastructure development.
  • International Presence: The company currently holds an international project order book valued at approximately ₹3,500 crores.
  • Operational Focus: New CMD Saleem Ahmad emphasized timely completion of ongoing works and faster execution of the current ₹87,000 crore order book to ensure sustainable growth.

Guidance & Outlook

Metric Guidance / Outlook Commentary
Revenue Growth (FY26) 1% to 2% (Flat) Stagnant growth expected due to the transition from nomination to bidding works.
Revenue Growth (FY27+) 10% YoY Targeted sustainable growth driven by strong order book and increased railway capex.
Profitability (FY26) Potential Dip Bottom line may see a hit in the short term as lower-margin bidding works contribute more to revenue.
Prototype Completion June/July 2026 First Vande Bharat sleeper prototype expected to be ready per railway milestones.
Project Completion December 2028 Milestone target for the completion of the Rishikesh-Karnaprayag project.

Risks & Constraints

Risk Context
Margin Compression The shift from nomination works (high margin) to competitive bidding is putting downward pressure on the bottom line.
Execution Complexity Large-scale projects like Vande Bharat (sleeper sets) and Rishikesh-Karnaprayag involve high technical complexity and long execution cycles.
Sector Concentration Despite diversification, 45% of the order book remains tied to Railway Ministry allocations, making it sensitive to shifts in government spending.

Q&A Highlights

Order Book & Revenue Mix

  • Question: What is the execution status of the ₹87,000 crore order book? (Ashish Shah)
  • Answer: Both nomination (₹40,000 cr) and bidding (₹47,000 cr) buckets are under full-swing execution. Over the next three years, revenue is expected to split 50-50 between these two streams (Saleem Ahmad).

Vande Bharat Progress

  • Question: What is the current status and configuration of the Vande Bharat order? (Shubham)
  • Answer: Work is progressing as planned. The first prototype for the 16-coach sleeper Vande Bharat is expected by June or July 2026 (Saleem Ahmad).

Margin Trajectory

  • Question: How will margins evolve given the shift to bidding projects? (Vishal Periwal)
  • Answer: Management is targeting a 7% gross margin for next year. While bidding is competitive, margins are being supported through cost-cutting and improved execution quality (Management).

Budget & High-Speed Rail

  • Question: Will RVNL benefit from the new high-speed rail corridors mentioned in the budget? (Vishal Periwal)
  • Answer: While specific corridors are entrusted to other organizations, RVNL will bid for these projects as a contractor. However, material order inflow from this sector is likely 2-3 years away (Saleem Ahmad).

Key Takeaway

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) is navigating a structural transition from a nomination-based railway agency to a diversified infrastructure executor. While Q3 FY26 results showed a top line of ₹4,936 crores, management cautioned that FY26 growth will remain flat (1-2%) with potential pressure on the bottom line due to the lower margins inherent in competitive bidding. However, the company maintains a robust order book of ₹87,000 crores, split nearly equally between nomination and bidding projects. Strategic focus areas include the Vande Bharat sleeper sets (prototype due mid-2026) and the Rishikesh-Karnaprayag rail link. Looking toward FY27, management guided for a 10% revenue growth and 7% EBITDA margins, supported by diversification into roads, ports, and international markets. The long-term outlook remains tied to the execution efficiency of its transition to a competitive bidding model.

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