Summary
VRL Logistics Limited - Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Summary Friday, February 06, 2026 11:00 AM
Event Participants
Executives 1 Sunil Nalavadi (CFO)
Analysts 4 Alok Deora, Ankita Shah, Anshul (Emkay Global), Disha Giria, Krupashankar NJ
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Total Income | ₹831 crores | +3.0% QoQ, flat YoY; driven by improved realizations and return of previously lost accounts. |
| Tonnage (Total) | 9.94 lakh tons (est) | -9.0% YoY, +3.0% QoQ; YoY decline due to strategic exit of low-margin contracts. |
| Daily Tonnage | 10,900+ tons | Improving demand trends and return of restructured contract volumes. |
| Realization | ₹8,117 per ton | +10.0% YoY; reflects price hikes and discontinuation of low-margin business. |
| EBITDA Margin | 20.9% | +20 bps YoY, +130 bps QoQ; aided by fuel cost control and yield improvement. |
| PAT | ₹65 crores | +9.0% YoY, +30.0% QoQ; sequential growth driven by lower interest costs. |
| Fuel Cost % | 24.8% | -160 bps YoY; benefit from 40% bulk procurement and increase in captive pumps to 8. |
| Net Debt | ₹272 crores | Reduced from ₹304 crores in Sep-25 due to healthy cash generation. |
| Interim Dividend | ₹5 per share | Approved by Board reflecting improvement in cash profits. |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- Goods Transport (Core Segment): Daily tonnage exceeded 10,900 tons as the company recovers from strategic contract restructuring. Management is targeting a shift toward underpenetrated geographies, particularly in the North and Northeast. Strategic focus remains on product-based marketing rather than customer-type, with textiles contributing 16-17% of total tonnage.
- Agency/Franchisee Network: Currently consists of 120-130 agencies contributing 9-10% of total tonnage. Management plans to aggressively expand this network to enter newer geographies without the fixed costs of company-owned branches. New agents are incentivized via tonnage-based commissions while adhering to centralized digital rate cards.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Fleet Modernization: Placed an order for 500 new HCVs (20-ton capacity) to be delivered by Dec-2026. Management prefers 20-tonners over 28-tonners due to higher payload efficiency within the same 32-foot vehicle dimensions and better return-load economics.
- Strategic Capex: Allocated ₹50 crores this quarter toward purchasing land for strategic branch locations. The intent is to own major branch properties to mitigate rising rental costs and secure operational tenure in high-demand pockets.
- Cost Management: Successfully offset an increase in employee costs (from 16.6% to 18.1% of income) through fuel efficiencies. The company’s on-roll driver model is maintained as a competitive advantage despite industry-wide driver shortages.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Tonnage Growth | 4% QoQ (Q4 FY26) | 345,000 tons already delivered in Jan-26; recovery of lost customers. |
| Volume Growth | 10% - 11% (FY27) | Expected from new branch/agency additions and marketing focus. |
| Revenue | ~₹3,600 crores (FY27) | Based on 11% volume growth and stable realizations. |
| EBITDA Margin | ~20% (FY27) | Operating leverage from fixed costs to offset inflationary pressures. |
| Capex | ~₹350 crores (FY27) | ~₹170cr for 500 CVs; ~₹170cr for land and building acquisitions. |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Volume Attrition | Management noted a 5-6% recurring customer churn on a sequential basis. While the company aims to offset this with 10% new customer acquisition, sustained volume growth depends on aggressive marketing and agency expansion. |
| Fixed Cost Inflation | Employee costs rose 1.5% as a percentage of revenue due to annual increments. While no further hikes are planned until March 2027, the 20% margin target relies on achieving 10%+ revenue growth to provide operating leverage. |
| Driver Shortage | Industry-wide shortage of skilled drivers remains a constraint. VRL is mitigating this through higher incentives and its on-roll employment model, which increased vehicle running expenses to 5.7% of income. |
Q&A Highlights
Volume & Strategy
- Question: What is the strategy for achieving 10% volume growth? (Krupashankar NJ)
- Answer: Focus is on appointing franchisees/agents in newer geographies and re-approaching lost customers. January 2026 tonnage of 3.45 lakh tons provides a strong base for 4% QoQ growth in Q4 (Sunil Nalavadi).
Fleet Efficiency
- Question: Why focus on 20-ton trucks when 28-tonners carry more? (Krupashankar NJ)
- Answer: Due to government weight regulations, both 20-ton and 28-ton trucks share a 32-foot body size. 20-tonners are more payload-efficient and easier to fill for return loads compared to 28-tonners (Sunil Nalavadi).
Margins & Costs
- Question: How will you maintain 20% EBITDA margins with rising employee and toll costs? (Anshul)
- Answer: 35-40% of costs (Rent, Employee, Insurance) are fixed. Revenue growth will provide operating leverage. Additionally, increasing captive fuel pumps and bulk refinery sourcing (40% of total) will lower variable costs (Sunil Nalavadi).
Realization Outlook
- Question: Can we expect more realization gains from price hikes? (Disha Giria)
- Answer: No further major hikes planned. Gains of 10% YoY were from last year’s hikes and 5-6% from exiting low-margin contracts. Future revenue growth will be volume-led (Sunil Nalavadi).
Key Takeaway
VRL Logistics reported a stable Q3 FY26 with a notable EBITDA margin expansion to 20.9%, successfully neutralizing higher employee costs through fuel procurement efficiencies and a strategic exit from low-margin contracts. While YoY tonnage declined by 9%, sequential growth of 3% and a strong January performance (3.45 lakh tons) signal a volume recovery. The company is pivoting toward a hybrid expansion model, utilizing both owned branches and a growing franchisee network to target 10-11% tonnage growth in FY27. Strategic capex remains high at ₹350 crores for FY27, split between land acquisition for branches and the addition of 500 higher-efficiency 20-ton HCVs. Management maintains a confident outlook, guiding for ₹3,600 crores in revenue and sustained 20% EBITDA margins for the next fiscal year, assuming stable macro conditions and successful volume scaling.
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