Summary
Welspun Corp Limited - Q3 FY 2026 Earnings Call Summary Monday, February 02, 2026 4:00 PM IST
Event Participants
Executives 4 Goutam Chakraborty (Head, Investor Relations), Nilesh Mazumdar (CEO, Sintex), Percy Birdy (CFO), Vipul Mathur (MD & CEO)
Analysts 8 Anirudh Nagpal (JM Financial), Ashutosh Nemani (JM Financial), Karan Bhatelia (MAIQ Capital), Radha (B&K Securities), Sailesh Raja (B&K Securities), Sneha Talreja (Nuvama), Sohan Joshi (ASC Consultancy), Vikash Singh (ICICI Securities), Yash (Art Ventures)
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Order Book | ₹23,600 crores | Record high; Provides long-term visibility across India and USA operations. |
| Revenue (9M Sintex) | ~₹500 crores | Indicative value; Management noted steady market share recovery in water tanks. |
| EBITDA | ₹645 crores | Highest ever quarterly EBITDA; Includes one-time ₹25 crore labor code provision. |
| 9M FY26 EBITDA | ₹1,831 crores | On track to exceed full-year guidance of ₹2,200 crores. |
| PAT | ₹453 crores | Significantly higher YoY when excluding previous year’s one-time gain from EPIC shares. |
| Line Pipe Sales | 265,000 tons | Combined volumes for India and USA operations. |
| DI Pipe Sales | 92,000 tons | Healthy growth driven by domestic North and West markets. |
| SS Bar & Pipe Sales | 7,600 tons | Includes 6,000 tons of bars and 1,600 tons of pipes. |
| Net Cash | ₹132 crores | Maintained net cash position despite ₹1,700 crore capex in 9M FY26. |
| ROCE (Annualized) | 24%+ | Reflects strong capital allocation and operational efficiency. |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- USA: Market remains bullish driven by gas pipelines for LNG exports and AI data centers; data centers require independent power plants and gas infrastructure. Order book for spiral mills is fully booked through March 2028 at 85-90% utilization.
- Saudi Arabia: Significant expansion via new LSAW and DI pipe mills to capture Saudi Aramco’s $50B-$55B capex cycle. Strategy focuses on import substitution as 2/3 of DI pipes are currently imported; domestic gas production increase to 16.6 Bcf per day drives pipeline demand.
- India (Line Pipe): Domestic water and oil/gas sectors were recently tepid due to fund crunches but are seeing resurgence. Export markets remain strong with breakthroughs in Latin America (Argentina) and ongoing projects in Qatar and Australia.
- Sintex (Water Tanks & Pipes): Focusing on regaining market share in tanks and launching OPVC pipes. Secured major empanelments in South, Central, and Eastern India; execution of OPVC orders has commenced following technical approvals.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Local-to-Global Strategy: Management emphasizes being a “local player” in high-tariff markets like the USA and Saudi Arabia to neutralize trade barriers and anti-dumping duties.
- Product Diversification: Transitioning from a pure line pipe player to a diversified infrastructure company across DI pipes, Stainless Steel, and Sintex retail products.
- Capacity Expansion: Seven to eight major projects, including US LSAW and Saudi DI plants, are on track for commissioning between Q2 and Q4 FY26.
- Sustainability: Ranked 5th globally in the S&P Global DJSI Index for steel companies with a score of 78, reflecting a 7% increase.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| FY26 EBITDA | >₹2,200 crores | Management confident of exceeding this based on 9M performance of ₹1,831 crores. |
| Project Commissioning | Q2 to Q4 FY26 | Staggered start for new US HFIW/LSAW mills and Saudi DI/LSAW facilities. |
| DI Pipe Capacity | 9.5 lakh tons (Total) | Combined India and Saudi capacity target by 1H FY27. |
| USA ROCE Threshold | ~20% | Internal hurdle rate for new US LSAW and HFIW expansion projects. |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Raw Material Volatility | Coking coal prices recently spiked 20-25% due to force majeure in mines; mitigated by 2-quarter forward cover and pass-through contracts. |
| Project Delays | Significant capacity coming online in FY26; delays in commissioning or accreditation could impact volume ramp-up targets. |
| Regulatory/Trade | Global trade involves anti-dumping investigations; however, WCL mitigates this by establishing local manufacturing in key markets like Saudi and USA. |
Q&A Highlights
USA Capacity & Strategy
- Question: Why upgrade the US HFIW mill from 20-inch to 24-inch diameter? (Ashutosh Nemani)
- Answer: There is a significant market for 24-inch pipelines to transport Natural Gas Liquids (NGL). Moving to 24-inch allows WCL to capture a premium, sizable business opportunity it previously lost (Vipul Mathur).
- Question: How does the new US LSAW mill change the competitive landscape? (Ashutosh Nemani)
- Answer: Once operational, there will only be two LSAW players in the USA. This will neutralize the need for imports in that segment (Vipul Mathur).
DI Pipe Markets
- Question: Is the coking coal price surge a threat to DI pipe margins? (Vikash Singh)
- Answer: No, the company maintains a 2-quarter forward cover. Furthermore, the current surge is viewed as a temporary spike due to weather-related force majeure in mines (Vipul Mathur).
- Question: What is the status of anti-dumping in Saudi Arabia? (Radha)
- Answer: KSA has started broad investigations into imports. Since 2/3 of the market is currently serviced by imports, this creates a major opportunity for WCL’s upcoming local capacity (Vipul Mathur).
Infrastructure Outlook
- Question: What is the confidence level in Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) spending? (Sneha Talreja)
- Answer: Confidence is high following the ₹70,000 crore budgetary allocation. Previous delays were due to government audits which are now reportedly complete (Vipul Mathur).
Key Takeaway
Welspun Corp delivered a record performance in Q3 FY26, characterized by its highest ever quarterly EBITDA of ₹645 crores and a robust global order book of ₹23,600 crores. The company is successfully executing a “localized global” strategy, positioning itself as a domestic manufacturer in the USA and Saudi Arabia to bypass trade barriers while capturing massive energy infrastructure demand. Strategic expansions, including the upgrade to 24-inch HFIW pipes in the US and the greenfield DI pipe plant in Saudi Arabia, are timed to coincide with a surge in AI data center demand and Aramco’s increased capex. With 9M EBITDA already reaching ₹1,831 crores, management is poised to exceed its ₹2,200 crore annual guidance. Looking ahead, the commissioning of multiple global projects between Q2 and Q4 FY26 remains the primary catalyst for incremental earnings growth.
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